Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.167419 0.197837 0.231890 0.272791 0.320542 0.374485 0.440005
2025-08-17 0.115511 0.152488 0.198354 0.259253 0.337810 0.435538 0.566144
2025-08-24 0.091475 0.131185 0.184349 0.260363 0.365852 0.506611 0.708165
2025-08-31 0.072725 0.111796 0.167542 0.252305 0.377247 0.553823 0.821303
2025-09-07 0.062118 0.101406 0.160627 0.255554 0.402870 0.621481 0.968787
2025-09-14 0.053374 0.092015 0.153230 0.256128 0.423358 0.682569 1.112189
2025-09-21 0.045565 0.082643 0.144154 0.252199 0.435415 0.730982 1.240189
2025-09-28 0.039671 0.075437 0.137366 0.250663 0.450462 0.784824 1.381648
2025-10-05 0.036954 0.073352 0.138866 0.263204 0.490334 0.883136 1.606834
2025-10-12 0.035112 0.072549 0.142416 0.279620 0.538573 1.000227 1.875980
2025-10-19 0.032374 0.069569 0.141476 0.287454 0.571831 1.093923 2.112615
2025-10-26 0.029077 0.064943 0.136725 0.287270 0.589752 1.161197 2.307117
2025-11-02 0.024912 0.058082 0.127066 0.277040 0.588820 1.196634 2.452598
2025-11-09 0.020984 0.051101 0.116216 0.263008 0.578807 1.214154 2.566980
2025-11-16 0.018885 0.047866 0.112795 0.264104 0.599937 1.295201 2.816391
2025-11-23 0.016389 0.043252 0.105635 0.255933 0.600115 1.333320 2.981569
2025-11-30 0.015000 0.041088 0.103700 0.259226 0.625702 1.426996 3.273239
2025-12-07 0.013607 0.038667 0.100793 0.259808 0.645130 1.509339 3.548933
2025-12-14 0.012129 0.035758 0.096264 0.255824 0.653360 1.567717 3.777519
2025-12-21 0.010953 0.033459 0.092914 0.254268 0.667122 1.639877 4.044713
2025-12-28 0.010560 0.033295 0.095051 0.266981 0.717413 1.801596 4.536126
2026-01-04 0.010344 0.033613 0.098513 0.283622 0.779540 1.997493 5.127967
2026-01-11 0.009777 0.032783 0.098724 0.291563 0.820226 2.145771 5.619476